2
Oct
BUY, HOLD OR SELL?
Paul Twyneham of Paul Twyneham & Company looks into the
options presented by the property market this autumn.
Just like the stock market, there is a right time in the
property market to buy, hold or sell. But, unlike the stock market,
buying property is usually allied to selling, so a clear financial
advantage is harder to anticipate or achieve. Despite the
turbulence of the past year, the market now, against all odds, is
rather good for selling. Here’s why.
Figures just out show the rental market is reaching some sort of
equilibrium, with the numbers of available properties having
dropped over the past six months or so. This is an important
indicator - it suggests those owners who couldn’t sell their
homes in the recession and were thus letting them instead, have now
begun to find buyers. This erosion of inventory in the rental
sector indicates a new dynamic in the sales sector.
Over the course of the year buyers have been snapping up those
properties priced keenly to sell. These bargain seekers have, in
the main, been cash buyers or those with sufficient funds to
require only a small mortgage. Now two things have happened in the
market - cash buyers are drying up along with the bargains. In many
areas prices have been rising to reflect the paucity of available
stock.
Will more property become available over the coming months as
home-owners see more chance of a sale? Would a greater supply of
property for sale suppress, or even reverse, some surprising price
advances of the past few months? These questions are hard to answer
in an economic environment that threatens greater job losses and
higher taxation.
We are now in an all-important political party conference
season. Those of us in the property industry and those whose plans
include buying and/or selling property over the coming months are
busy analysing how the policies of an aspiring new government may
affect the property market. Taxing ‘mansion’ owners,
repealing Home Information Pack legislation and providing more
social housing: these are all suggested new ideas.
What good, if any, these measures will have is difficult to see
just now. But the real drivers of the property market are deaths,
births, confidence and taxes. Any incoming government next year
can’t do too much about the first two. But how they manage
the latter pair will be crucial to them and ourselves.
So what to do now to make the most of this market before the
general election and even Christmas? Why, sell of course. But if
there is a property to buy as well, it really does not matter too
much in the financial scheme of things. What surely does matter is
that you and your family are happy and safe in the home you have or
the home you buy. These are always the best reasons to determine
whether to buy, hold or sell and no market or political party,
whatever their policies, will ever change that.